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IPO pipeline softens under rate pressure

IPO pipeline softens under rate pressure

09/24/2025
Fabio Henrique
IPO pipeline softens under rate pressure

The global market for initial public offerings has experienced a notable slowdown in successful listings throughout the first half of 2025. While companies continue to file registration statements, persistent high interest rates and equity market volatility and uncertainty have caused many issuers to postpone their market debuts.

Financial institutions and corporate issuers alike are weighing year-over-year pipeline buildup against compressed windows for favorable pricing. With nearly 100 IPOs priced so far this year, data reveals a split dynamic: robust filing activity but lower completion ratios in key sectors.

Current Market Dynamics

Through May 2025, 97 IPOs have priced globally, buoyed by a late-2024 upswing in post-listing performance. Yet, proceeds raised in the first five months reached $11.0 billion across 25 traditional listings—down from $12.7 billion in the same period last year.

March 2025 saw the highest monthly issuance this year with 18 deals, but subsequent months have tempered expectations. Investors remain cautious, demanding clear signs of stability before committing capital to new equity offerings.

  • Total IPOs priced in 2025 to date: 97
  • Traditional IPO proceeds through May 2025: $11.0 billion
  • YOY decline in proceeds and volume: modest but meaningful

Sector and Regional Variations

Not all markets are responding equally to rate pressure. The Americas lead with the strongest pipeline growth since 2015 (excluding 2021), driven primarily by large-scale technology offerings in the United States.

By contrast, EMEIA regions saw a 60% drop in proceeds Q1 2025 versus Q4 2024, reflecting selective regional growth trajectories and delayed monetary easing in Europe.

Asia-Pacific stands out for its construction and health sector surges—most notably India, which recorded a 24-year high in construction IPO activity. Meanwhile, emerging markets in South Korea and Southeast Asia attract larger technology deals.

  • Americas: Strong tech-led filings, robust 2024 performances
  • EMEIA: Pipeline up, completions down amid rate concerns
  • Asia-Pacific: Construction and health surges, led by India

Investor Sentiment and Rate Environment

Despite fleeting optimism about potential rate cuts, central banks have maintained elevated policy rates to combat inflation. This environment has created a classic ‘caution’ pattern: a rising pipeline but lagging completions.

Investor wariness has centered on execution risk and diluted post-listing returns. Smaller growth companies, in particular, face steep yield expectations that many fear cannot be met in the short term.

Yet, strong post-IPO performance in late 2024—especially among U.S. tech unicorns—continues to underpin a backlog of high-quality issuers ready to list once conditions improve.

Outlook and Unlocking Potential

Looking ahead to H2 2025, market participants will closely monitor central bank signals. A single rate cut or clear hawkish pivot could be enough to catalyze a wave of deferred filings.

Analysts anticipate that mega-listings such as Stripe (valued near $65 billion) and other unicorns will test investor appetite when volatility subsides. These anchor deals may pave the way for smaller companies if they achieve strong debuts.

  • Monitor Fed and ECB communications for policy shifts
  • Position filings around anticipated volatility troughs
  • Leverage strong anchor deals to rebuild market confidence

In sum, the global IPO pipeline remains intact but restrained by a sector-specific divergence in pipeline and pent-up IPO demand. Unlocking this potential depends on favorable market windows ahead and the eventual return of actionable strategies for issuers.

Fabio Henrique

About the Author: Fabio Henrique

Fabio Henrique