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Housing affordability worsens in urban centers

Housing affordability worsens in urban centers

07/11/2025
Robert Ruan
Housing affordability worsens in urban centers

The latest data paints a stark picture: urban housing markets have become increasingly out of reach for most Americans. As median prices climb and mortgage rates remain elevated, everyday families face mounting barriers to homeownership and affordable rentals.

Across major metropolitan areas, the imbalance between soaring demand and constrained supply has straining household budgets and dreams. Policymakers, developers, and community advocates now confront an urgent challenge: how to reverse decades of affordability decline.

Understanding the Root Causes

Several interlocking factors drive the affordability crisis. Decades of housing prices rising faster than wages have eroded purchasing power, while pandemic-era market dynamics amplified these trends. At the same time, regulatory hurdles and high borrowing costs have further limited access to housing.

  • Housing prices outpacing wage growth
  • Elevated mortgage rates limiting access
  • Supply shortages in key markets
  • Restrictive land use regulations

Between 1984 and 2025, the cost of housing climbed by roughly $5,000 per year in real terms. Meanwhile, the national ratio of home price to income has jumped from 4–5 times to an alarming 6 times, and exceeds 10 times in cities like San Francisco.

Urban Affordability Under Pressure

Urban centers consistently show the steepest affordability declines. In 23 states and D.C., over 80% of households are priced out of purchasing a median new home. Strict zoning and permit delays further constrain new construction, intensifying competition for limited units.

The underbuilding gap of at least 1.5 million homes nationwide underscores the depth of the shortage. In global comparisons, 90% of major cities now classify as “unaffordable,” with median home prices exceeding three times average incomes.

The Renters’ Plight

While potential homeowners feel the pinch, renters—especially extremely low-income households—bear the heaviest burden. For every 100 such renter households, only 35 affordable units exist, creating a shortage of 7.1 million homes.

Overall, more than half of renters below 50% of area median income are cost-burdened, spending over 30% of their earnings on rent. In the $35,000–$49,000 income bracket, this share has climbed from under 40% in 2010 to over 60% today.

Policy and Structural Challenges

Land use regulation remains a formidable barrier. Strict zoning codes in many coastal and inland metros prevent developers from building multifamily units or higher-density housing, limiting supply when demand is surging.

NIMBY opposition often stops development proposals at the local level, and permit backlogs can delay projects by years. These hurdles compound the effects of rising construction costs and labor shortages, making new units even more expensive.

Shifting Geographic Patterns

Affordability pressures are no longer confined to coastal and major urban cores. Remote work trends have driven households to suburban and rural areas, pushing up prices in markets once considered safe havens. As remote job opportunities spread, affordability challenges follow.

This migration erodes the historical price gap between urban, suburban, and rural regions. Communities that once offered lower costs are now experiencing faster price appreciation, further stretching household budgets.

A Global Perspective

This crisis is not unique to the United States. Worldwide, 1.6 billion people will face housing shortages by 2025, and the UN estimates the need for 96,000 new affordable homes each day to meet demand by 2030. Major global cities like Sydney, Hong Kong, and London sit firmly in the “impossibly unaffordable” category.

Different countries are experimenting with solutions—zoning reform in Canada, upzoning initiatives in New Zealand, and permit streamlining in Australia. Yet, meaningful progress requires overcoming entrenched regulatory mindsets and fragmented jurisdictions.

Facing the Future: Solutions and Hope

Despite daunting statistics, there are pathways to improvement. Local, state, and federal authorities can enact policies that unlock new supply, protect vulnerable renters, and incentivize innovation in housing finance and design.

  • Adopt zoning reform and upzoning efforts
  • Increase funding for affordable housing development
  • Streamline permitting and reduce construction costs
  • Encourage public-private partnerships
  • Support community-driven development efforts

Building more homes—both for purchase and rent—must be paired with renter protections and targeted subsidies. Expanding housing choice and affordability can revitalize communities, boost economic mobility, and foster social equity.

Ultimately, reversing decades of affordability decline will demand urgent, coordinated action and policy change across all levels of government and society. By embracing innovative strategies and bold reforms, we can chart a course toward a future where every household has access to a safe, affordable place to call home.

Robert Ruan

About the Author: Robert Ruan

Robert Ruan