Logo
Home
>
Market Analysis
>
IPO market cools after 2021 surge

IPO market cools after 2021 surge

04/25/2025
Fabio Henrique
IPO market cools after 2021 surge

The explosive growth of global IPO activity in 2021 created high expectations for companies and investors alike. However, subsequent years have revealed a more complex and cautious landscape. This article explores the journey from a red-hot market to a tempered environment, highlighting key trends, data, and what may lie ahead.

2021 Surge and Its Drivers

In 2021, the IPO market experienced what many called a record-breaking year for IPOs. Worldwide, companies completed 3,022 listings and raised a staggering $601.2 billion, representing an 88% jump in volume and an 87% gain in proceeds compared to 2020. In the United States alone, 397 IPOs generated roughly $140 billion by mid-year, driven by strong equity markets and investor thirst for returns.

Several factors fueled this frenzy:

  • Global IPO market hit an all-time high as public valuations soared.
  • Massive liquidity from accommodative central bank policies.
  • Popularity of SPACs, providing alternative pathways to the public markets.
  • Investor enthusiasm for high-growth sectors, particularly digital and tech firms.

By mid-2021, tech giants and emerging fintechs raced to list their shares, while healthcare innovators leveraged favorable conditions to access capital. The combination of these trends created a peak unmatched in recent history.

2022–2024: Sharp Decline and Market Correction

As inflationary pressures mounted and central banks began tightening monetary policy, IPO activity plummeted. The U.S. recorded only 71 listings in 2022 by mid-year—the lowest post-pandemic level.

Key headwinds included:

  • Persistent inflation and rising interest rates eroded investor risk appetite.
  • Elevated volatility driven by geopolitical tensions and global conflicts.
  • Valuation gaps between public and private markets stalled deal flow.

By 2023, the market showed modest improvement with 109 U.S. IPOs, followed by 150 in 2024. Yet these figures remained far below the 2021 high-water mark. Regionally, India and the Middle East stood out as hubs of renewed activity, while many developed markets struggled to regain momentum.

Many late-stage startups opted to stay private longer, citing challenging listing conditions and wide valuation mismatches. Meanwhile, recent public debuts delivered mixed results, reinforcing investor caution and the need for clearer performance trajectories.

2025 Market Conditions and Emerging Trends

Through mid-June 2025, U.S. IPOs totaled 84, a sharp decline from the same period in 2024 and the lowest count since 2022. Proceeds of $13 billion represented less than 10% of the robust pace set in 2021. Despite these modest figures, analysts point to several encouraging signs of recovery.

Leading sectors in the current cycle include AI-driven technology, fintech platforms, green energy firms, and breakthrough healthcare companies. Policy support for innovation, along with improving economic fundamentals, have helped catalyze renewed interest.

Notable or anticipated IPOs this year reflect this shift:

  • Stripe: A fintech powerhouse seeking to expand globally.
  • CoreWeave and Cerebras: High-performance computing innovators.
  • Chime and Circle: Consumer finance and blockchain leaders.
  • Venture Global: Green energy specialist tapping public markets.

Investor sentiment has evolved into renewed investor confidence and market momentum, albeit tempered by lessons learned during the earlier boom and bust. Companies are now focusing on sustainable growth and clear profitability paths to attract long-term capital.

Outlook: Sustaining the Rebound Amid Lingering Risks

Looking ahead, the IPO market faces a balancing act between optimism and caution. On one hand, improved macroeconomic indicators—cooling inflation, stable interest rates, and supportive regulatory policies—could pave the way for a stronger issuance pipeline. On the other, geopolitical uncertainties, potential policy shifts, and risks of new market shocks remain very real.

Analysts suggest that for a sustained resurgence, several conditions must hold:

  1. Continued clarity on interest rate trajectories to anchor investor expectations.
  2. Bridging valuation discrepancies with private markets to encourage timely listings.
  3. Demonstrated profitability from recent IPO cohorts to bolster confidence.
  4. Broader regional participation to diversify risk and tap new capital pools.

If these factors align, the market could well approach mid-cycle levels unseen since 2021. However, the path will likely be gradual, marked by selective sectors driving most headline-grabbing deals.

In this evolving landscape, companies and investors must remain vigilant—prioritizing transparency, robust performance metrics, and strategic timing. This measured approach may not recreate the dizzying heights of 2021, but it promises a healthier and more sustainable IPO ecosystem for years to come.

Technology and healthcare sectors lead recovery, supported by innovative business models and pressing global needs. As these industries continue to mature, they will likely serve as the foundation for the next wave of public market successes.

Fabio Henrique

About the Author: Fabio Henrique

Fabio Henrique